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Setting the stage:What does a successful headcount forecasting model look like?

So, before we jump into our templates, we first need to consider what a successful headcount forecasting model looks like to ensure the model is actionable and useful to the organization.

We have detailed the characteristics of a successful model below, as well as what these mean for the construction of the model. You can also watch a quick clip of our founder, Katie Fifer, walking through these considerations.

Characteristics of a successful model Tactical Implications
Actively used throughout the year to manage headcount. Not just completed as part of the annual planning process and never opened again. Drills down to the team and individual level
Makes sense in the context of historical information Includes historical headcount information and a clear waterfall bridge to go from beginning to end of the year
Translates headcount into cost Includes salary information + fringe cost estimates
Makes sense in the context of the revenue and business plan Includes relevant metrics and KPIs
Clear and easy to follow Easy to update, flexible model with clear inputs and summaries

Template Overview

There are two templates included in the file – the first template forecasts headcount at the individual role level, while the second template forecasts at the team level.

For each template, we provide a step-by-step video guide to help you understand and operationalize the model:

Template 1: Forecasting at the Individual Level

  • Introducing the model
  • Understanding and building the model

    Filling out the key inputs for Template 1

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    Breaking down the monthly forecast

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    Summarizing salary & headcount by team by month

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  • Summarizing the data and putting it in context

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